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The Fed
Kevin Warsh, our new Fed leader
After months of intense back-and-forth, President Trump finally picked a new Chair for the Federal Reserve.
46 minutes ago2 min read
Productivity Boom, Redux
Increasing productivity could drive GDP growth, even in the face of zero growth in payrolls. Historically, this would be rare.
2 days ago2 min read
Market News Today
Corning partnership with Meta. UPS earnings. UNP earnings. RTX earnings. And the US dollar is falling
3 days ago3 min read
Market News: Inflation, GE, PG, and 10yr Yield
Earnings season continues, with reports from two blue chips - P&G and GE Aerospace. We'll also review inflation and look at the 10yr yield.
Jan 223 min read
Lisa Cook and the Fed's independence on trial
Today, SCOTUS is hearing arguments about whether the claims against Lisa Cook are "cause" for her removal from the court. At actual stake is the Fed's independence.
Jan 212 min read
Why is gold rising?
(1) Gold prices continue rising. (2) Bank earnings and the economy. (3) Retail sales and PPI data.
Jan 145 min read
DOJ vs. Federal Reserve
(1) DOJ is investigating the Fed Chair. (2) Trump proposed a 10% cap on credit card rates. (3) Oil is rising from further tensions in Iran.
Jan 127 min read
Defense Stocks and Global Risks
US defense stocks swing on two updates from the President. We also got insight into what will happen to Vez's oil. Last, we've introduced a global risk board.
Jan 85 min read
AI Stocks Move Lower
AI-related stocks are falling today on news on Oracle and Amazon. And we have an update on the Fed Chair race. Apparently, the decision is still up in the air.
Dec 17, 20254 min read
Jobs Growth Still Weak
After finally getting the jobs data for October and November, we see job market is still growing slower than usual -- but not collapsing.
Dec 16, 20252 min read
Fed December Rate Cut
As expected, the Fed announced a cut to interest rates yesterday. We'll go through that and look at the forecast for 2026.
Dec 11, 20253 min read
Consumer earnings and Macro Data
Two key macro reports today -- PCE inflation and consumer survey -- should both give the Fed a green light to cut rates next week. We will also talk about how consumer stocks are faring recently.
Dec 5, 20253 min read
Amazon AI and ADP jobs
December 3, 2025 Summary Amazon is hosting its Amazon Web Services (AWS) conference this week. So there's lots of chatter about its AI offering relative to competitor AI cloud providers. We'll also talk briefly about monthly payrolls from ADP. In absence of the regular govn jobs figures (delayed by the shutdown), the ADP reports have taken on greater importance. Amazon AWS Amazon is hosting its AWS conference this week. The company gave an update on the release of its own
Dec 3, 20252 min read
Google is now an AI chip company?
Google is emerging as not only a leading AI model company (with Gemini) but now also is marketing its own line of AI processors with partner Broadcom.
Nov 25, 20253 min read
Market News: GOOGL, Rate Cut Odds, DELL
Market news: quick takes on Google and a downgrade on Dell, as well as the current odds of a Fed rate cut
Nov 17, 20252 min read
Fed Rate Cut Odds
The Fed's mouthpiece at the WSJ published a new article. We'll take a look at what this means for odds of a rate cut.
Nov 12, 20252 min read
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